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收盤:滬指震盪上揚0.49% 可關注填權行情

新華網消息 5月4日滬深兩市小幅低開。上證指數開盤報2437.47點,跌0.11%,成交額為4.41億元;深成指開盤報10464.59點,跌0.04%,成交額為4.88億元。

  其後股指震盪上揚,截至收盤,上證指數報2452.01點,漲0.49%,成交額為1023.78億元;深成指報10573.60點,漲1.01%,成交額為830.17億元。


  [評析]
  如果把視線放眼到整個五月,在股票持倉方面,可以遵循近期的盤面特徵得到啟示。昨日券商股再次大漲,醫藥板塊也出現了數股漲停,釀酒行業再度崛起,但五月首個交易日表現強勢的有色金屬和煤炭股則出現了沖高回落。由此可見,市場熱點會隨之轉換,個股在上漲中只要是符合政策方向,並且中期業績有保障的均會輪漲。投資者手中的個股只要質地不錯,持股待漲或許是最優策略。尤其需要指出的是,日前監管層嚴格退市制度,其意在保證在交易所上市企業的品質。顯然,管理層更希望資金向經營運作更加健康的上市公司流動,而一旦退市個案確定性發生,潛藏風險確定性顯現,那麼市場資金自然會做出正確的選擇。也就是說,我們或許正迎來一個A股投資風格變革期,單純的題材炒作、新股炒作、重組炒作將逐漸喪失市場,在經歷充分的風險教育之後,新的投資風格必將偏向經營能力更加穩健的大型企業。

  此外,以下三條主線也值得關注:汽車股作為權重行業中受政策壓制較小、未來成長明確的品種,有進一步估值回歸的動力;醫藥股經過長期低迷後,有望在二季度的傳統旺季迎來轉機;券商股直接受益於資本市場制度改革與創新,且有媒體爆週末券商創新大會召開,新的利好政策如出臺必定圍繞著交易費用及相關制度性變革,也存在投資機會。

  還有一條配置思路是鑒古知今。根據以往經驗看,每年的五、六月份都是上市公司填權行情炒作的高峰期。去年年報分配預案中,“10轉送10股”以上的公司有184家,從近期盤面上看,這些高送轉個股也已經開始得到了投資者的積極追捧。在已經實施除權除息的44家上市公司中,部分個股已經走出了不同程度的填權行情。在其中精選業績優良的個股,尤其是一季度業績較高的個股,對其填權行情予以關注,或許也是不錯的選擇。(王小偉/中國證券報)

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